What is an investment thesis?

An investment thesis is essentially a well-reasoned justification for making a specific investment. It outlines the rationale behind investing in a particular asset, such as a stock or bond, and is based on the investor's analysis of various factors including market conditions, financial performance, and future potential. This foundational argument is critical for guiding investment decisions and helps to articulate why an investment is expected to be profitable or beneficial.

In contrast, while predictions about market trends, diversification strategies, and company histories may influence investment decisions, they do not directly constitute the investment thesis itself. The investment thesis focuses on the specific reasons for choosing to invest in one opportunity over another, distinguishing it as a more focused and analytical approach to investment reasoning.